Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 12.679025 14.814355 17.144400 19.868529 22.958478 26.346813 30.335605
2025-06-15 9.449975 12.450590 16.063481 20.697358 26.442489 33.288240 42.014953
2025-06-22 7.396215 10.731763 15.072874 21.052483 28.978044 39.014975 52.561684
2025-06-29 5.783618 9.137077 13.807010 20.642387 30.221289 42.972369 60.992693
2025-07-06 4.509036 7.711396 12.457459 19.796136 30.601735 45.626427 67.718898
2025-07-13 4.046625 7.385072 12.588771 20.994826 33.862183 52.368243 80.419489
2025-07-20 3.637902 7.055796 12.638496 22.025041 36.906434 58.965064 93.313456
2025-07-27 3.219697 6.627242 12.450757 22.623760 39.295336 64.714814 105.296540
2025-08-03 2.794416 6.104549 12.021167 22.750949 40.908159 69.352194 115.853470
2025-08-10 2.357229 5.475773 11.311521 22.302158 41.506148 72.406256 124.114019
2025-08-17 1.977184 4.885281 10.581080 21.713619 41.780264 74.911274 131.600659
2025-08-24 1.659668 4.361160 9.895972 21.112592 41.947227 77.205012 138.823570
2025-08-31 1.318643 3.734653 8.960093 20.014797 41.285609 78.328935 144.669035
2025-09-07 1.197002 3.598011 9.016617 20.868334 44.297734 85.999646 162.072655
2025-09-14 1.051942 3.369468 8.840087 21.229418 46.416606 92.262230 177.483128
2025-09-21 0.876988 3.016741 8.325874 20.816931 46.993364 95.801122 188.371915
2025-09-28 0.706904 2.627271 7.653288 19.964587 46.595866 97.506798 196.087120
2025-10-05 0.669477 2.618116 7.898323 21.172059 50.471859 107.376251 219.007720
2025-10-12 0.626164 2.579628 8.062546 22.209755 54.074157 116.937240 241.856724
2025-10-19 0.568062 2.477194 8.043563 22.812800 56.799974 124.972069 262.291445
2025-10-26 0.498769 2.315841 7.838537 22.940905 58.503974 131.109147 279.478097
2025-11-02 0.419807 2.093120 7.421510 22.488877 58.879715 134.624464 291.851367
2025-11-09 0.349006 1.874996 6.974233 21.896079 58.872506 137.347589 302.815363